The way the atmosphere is set up will allow for not one, but two possible days for severe weather this week - both Monday and Tuesday. Plenty of warm, moist air will be streaming into our area via winds from the southwest, as a stationary front sets up to our north. With disturbances called "shortwaves" riding through, storms will have the necessary "ingredients" to develop. The atmosphere will also be very unstable, allowing these storms to possibly become severe.
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| WPC Surface Map, Valid 7PM Monday, via NOAA |
Some storms are possible tomorrow morning, but what we're really looking at is later tomorrow afternoon/evening and into the night. Widespread wind damage and heavy rainfall/possible flooding are the main concerns with this system, but other severe factors such as hail and isolated tornadoes can't be ruled out. As shown below, Bowling Green is under an "Enhanced" Risk for severe weather Monday.
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| SPC Day 2 Convective Outlook |
As for Tuesday, the severe potential continues. This time, a low pressure system with a trailing cold front will allow storms to fire up in areas of remaining instability. A few rounds of storms are possible Tuesday into Tuesday night with plenty of forcing available.
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| SPC Day 3 Convective Outlook |
As always - and especially in times of severe weather - keep up with the WKU Storm Team on Facebook and Twitter.
Forecast
Tonight: Partly cloudy, low of 75°. Winds from the southwest up to 5 mph.
Monday: Hot and humid with a chance for strong/severe storms. Otherwise, mostly sunny with a high of 94°. Southwest winds 7-10 mph.
Monday Night: Showers and thunderstorms - some severe. Low around 76°.
Tuesday: Severe threat continues with a high temperature of 92°. Heat index values could break the 100° mark.
Thanks for the read!
Mallory Schnell
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